A personal care company in Ahmedabad sells face creams, lipsticks, kajal and a hair oil across Gujarat, Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh. In late summer the owner plans the wedding and festival season. A new lipstick range in many shades and a festive gift box go out to every distributor with a strong scheme.
In Jaipur and Udaipur, the deep reds and maroons run out early in the wedding season. Shop owners call the distributor, who has none left and is waiting for the next scheme load. Brides buy a red from another company. Meanwhile, in Indore, the same red shades sit, because the shops there were asking for nudes, which the distributor had very few of. A short video of the company's kajal goes around online, and shops in Ahmedabad ask for it in bulk. The factory hears about it weeks later.
After Diwali, the gift boxes start coming back. So do the pale shades, the melted testers and a pile of creams that had been lying since the previous winter. The owner sits with his sales head and the returns list. They decide to make the full lipstick range again for next year, with the same shades in the same quantities, because that is what last year's dispatch shows. Nobody saw what actually sold.